Real Estate Housing Crash Q4 2021

Move over, Graham Stephan and MeetKevin – this is Ken’s take on the 2021 housing crash. Learn how to prepare for a crash in housing prices as inventory increases, what factors will reduce prices, and bring home prices down. DOWNLOAD NOTES:

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⏰ Timestamps ⏰:

0:00 Introduction
1:13 Market discussion from Fed Data
2:35 What is a balanced market?
6:24 What is the right level of listings for a balance market…
9:22 Estimated fall out from foreclosures
11:53 Other factors and their impact
16:19 Overall summary

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#kenmcelroy #realestate #housingcrash2021

To learn more about this topic, check these links below:
Housing Market Predictions 2021: Is It Going To Crash or Boom? › blog › housing-market-pr…
The pandemic has certainly affected every sector but residential real estate has been very resilient. The real estate sector has also been highly supportive of the …

The last stand for forbearance housing market crash bros … › articles › is-this-the-last-stand-…
Feb 8, 2021 — Housing market bubble boys turned forbearance crash bros have a big … In 2021, a lingering symptom of the economic sickness we suffered in 2020 is … it’s crucial for real estate agents and brokers to be proactive in order to grow their business. … Americans’ mortgage debt increased to $10T in Q4.
Three reasons there won’t be a 2021 housing market crash … › articles › three-reasons-there-…
Jan 18, 2021 — Three reasons there won’t be a 2021 housing market crash. Housing …

Why Are So Many Americans Predicting A Housing Market
The residential brokerage Compass, the residential mortgage lender and … predicting the housing market bubble will deflate during 2021 Q4 2021.


  1. So you’re saying because of higher listings and defaults that in 2022 it would be a great time to be a real estate agent, if of course you want to be in that field?

  2. As soon as interest rates start to go up even a little, houses become even more unaffordable and certainly that will contribute to a slow down in home sales. Forbearance is not loan forgiveness and no you do not get to add that to the end of your loan. People who say that are just wishful thinkers. Maybe your bank will work with you though. Who knows.

  3. Unemployement is improving now. So this might be too logical for government but a simple solution to prevent foreclosures would be to set it up for people to start making payments and if they are 6 months late, add 6 months to the end of the loan. If they do that, what do all think will happen then?

  4. Good videos Ken!! Have a ? – between rising Inflation and pending housing crash – would you take on debt now? In one of your videos you suggested that one of the best inflationary hedge is to take on cheap debt – like a mortgage etc. So how does someone like me, planning to buy a house in a very hot market, balances these 2 forces and pieces of information ? thanks in advance for your help

  5. I’ve bought houses with the profits generated from consistent trading in the stock market. it’s smart to prefer investing in stocks because that alone could set you up for some really great profit for a long time.

  6. I’ve bought houses with the profits generated from consistent trading in the stock market. it’s smart to prefer investing in stocks because that alone could set you up for some really great profit for a long time.

  7. Dude, you fucked a lot of people over with your bullshit analysis. I have been following you since 2018, pretty much all your videos said the Housing crisis is coming in the next half a year.

  8. As of 8/1/21per CNBC: The inventory of new homes for sale jumped from a 5.5-month supply in May to a 6.3-month supply in June. Last fall, it sat at a low of just 3.5 months.

  9. Thanks to grandpa Joe everything reeks inflation, good thing is people are getting to know cash/fiat is pretty much stone age at this point, it is designated to fail eventually, 3 BEST and surprisingly easy ways to double or hold your funds in 2021; Real Estate, Gold, Who can guess the 3rd??

  10. Really bad math Ken. At 10:14 (and other places), you say 1M homes = 2 months inventory. That's 500,000 homes = 1 month inventory (NOT 300,000 as you keep repeating). Using those numbers, a balanced market is reached at 3M in total inventory. This is enough to potentially tilt your numbers.

  11. Well Ken your numbers are off. The nation is 5 million available homes below where we need to be…

    Months later prices still rising

    Most people in forbearance have came up with a solution

    Inventory still at a all time low

  12. What does a potential slowdown/crash indicate to a current homeowner in the long term (10-20 years). Where will Austin/RR be in 2040 (adjusted for inflation)? Trying to figure out if I should sell at the short-term peak, or hold it for the long-run.

  13. I just don't know what to do. I don't want to buy now, but my landlord is selling, and rentals are in short supply, very competitive, with huge fees and crazy policies, lots of property managers owning them that have horrid reviews online

  14. This was certainly not worth the time I spent listening to it. Such a convoluted way to try to interpret data Points and at the exact same time leaving out such critical data such as overall demand. We have underbuilt for over a decade now and we need more homes. Listening to this in the month of July proves that even a few months later from when he publishes video he's dead wrong.

  15. This is true for the personal consumer. But large hedge funds are buying out foreclosed properties 20% above retail so good news is the market will crash but everyone who doesn’t own property now will be renters forever

  16. it would be really easy for the banks to just move the payments to the end of the loans, but NO. They will kick people out and the vultures will buy in bulk. Like always.

  17. Charts at 6:20 math does not make sense. If you divide Dec 2019 houses available (top chart) by month's supply (bottom chart), you get two very different answers for "how many houses determine one months supply" between Dec 2019 (463,333) and Dec 2020 (563,157). Approx 20% difference. Why is this?

  18. Fyi, if you can't afford your property taxes and don't pay up the city can foreclose or out lright confiscate your house and auction it regardless of your forbearance/regardless of paying your mtg on time. HOAs cam do this as well. So there. It is coming it is a guarantee. We are beyond rates needing to be raiaed for a crash. Rates don't even need to be raised for a volcanic collapse.

  19. Abysmal.
    First: clean up the math. Approximating is one thing, not being able to cross multiply is another.
    Second: support your claim with data. What was the supply last year and what were the forebearances? How many usually default (I.e. is 50% optimistic or pessimistic?) etc….

  20. It is the same with the used card market. When the 3 year hiked up price bubble bursts – no it's not just because of Covid the used car prices went up 25% 3 years ago, then those who bought a used car in the last 12-18 months is going to be at a massive loss. Buy a car for 40k, one year later it could be worth 25k. It is all about making everything cost more to keep the CEO's in the money and make the working class pay for it as their quality of life gets pushed lower and lower into the depths.

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